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By Maia Mindel

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    A short guide to Ecuadorian macro and financial data

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    Highlights of the Ecuadorian Economy The Ecuadorian economy continues slow recovery from COVID. Given that the economy was already in a recession by 2019, Ecuador was hit particularly hard by the COVID pandemic - with a GDP contraction of 9% in 2020 and a slow recovery of 4% in 2021, with an even lower expected rate for 2022 - resulting in a similarly unimpressive labor market. Unlike most other countries, inflation in Ecuador has increased but not to extraordinary levels, resulting in a more beneficial real exchange rate. Perspectives remain muted, with slow but steady growth and no real changes in inflation, although the country's financial position may face complications in the future. You can find a version of this piece on Ecuador here and read more Alphacast Highlights here Interested in activity, prices, monetary, fiscal, external sector, and financial data for Ecuador? There are loads of datasets, see for example this Repository which has oficial statistics from from different sources, including both government statistics and datasets produced by private entities. If you are looking for data about Ecuador you'll probably find it here. However, this short guide will help you find the basic "must-see" datasets. Our Datasets are contained...

    Step-by-Step: How the Coincident Consumption Index Was Made

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    A coincident index provides a gauge for the movement of a key economic variable through the use of related data series. In this case, the coincident investment index mirrors one the largest components of GDP, Private Consumption. The index is divided in sections, which are weighed in accordance with their relevance to the variable at hand, and estimated using the latest available data for each. You can see read more about the index (methodology, usefulness, interpretation) here. | Component | Weight | Indicators| | --- | --- | --- | | Food and Beverages| 22.7%| Baked Goods, Meats, Fruits and Vegetables, Dairy, Beverages, Sweets and Candy| | Housing and Utilities| 14.5%| Real Estate and Housing Services, Electricity, Heating, Running Water| | Transportation| 14.5%| Vehicle purchases, Fuels, Transportation Services, Airfare| | Recreation and Culture | 8.6%| Related goods| | Clothing and Footwear | 6.8%| Clothing and Footwear production| | Restaurants and Hotels | 6.6%| Restaurants and Hotels activity| | Healthcare | 6.4%| Healthcare activity| | Home Equipment | 5.4%| Appliances, Furniture and Mattresses| | Communications | 5.3%| Activity in Communications| | Other Services| 4.3%| Financial Services, Personal and Professional Services| | Education| 3.2%| Education activity| | Alcohol and Tobacco| 1.9%| Wine,...

    Keeping Track of Vehicle Prices

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    Automobiles are a major item for the economy, both because of the weight the industry has on total manufacturing output/employment, and because of their relevance for consumer spending. But data on vehicle prices is not easy to find, and INDEC does not publish a monthly estimate for national vehicle prices. Utilizing both the INDEC Wholesale Price Index (IPIM) and the City of Buenos Aires Consumer Price Index (CBA-CPI), it is possible to keep track of vehicle prices with an Alphacast pipeline. The procedure is simple: after fetching both datasets and merging them, you can take a simple average of their monthly variations (IPIM Vehicle Prices and CBA-CPI Vehicle Purchases), and derive a base Dec-16=100 index that follows both. The final data is available here. Using transformations, you can add other datapoints to the story, such as real vehicle prices, and MoM or YoY changes. It is possible to then see a variety of phenomena. For instance, real vehicle prices decreased strongly between mid-2016 and mid-2018, but increased rapidly after each large devaluation. However, absent large devaluations, prices accelerated without any exchange rate devaluations - in fact, prices grew as much between 2016 and June 2020 as since June 2020. Regardless,...

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