Ignacio Savanti
@isavanti_
Ignacio Savanti
@isavanti_
isavanti_'s insights
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - October 6th to 13th 2025
Inflation showed a mitigation on a weekly basis. Consumer prices rose by 0.36% WoW, a much slower pace compared to the revised 1% WoW gain from the previous week. On a monthly scale, inflation stood at 2.1%, mantaining its pace relative to previous week. Consequently, the annual rate slightly decreased to 30.3% YoY, slightly inferior to the earlier adjusted 30.5% YoY. During the reference week, core, seasonal and regulated prices slowed down. Core prices increased 0.38% WoW, lower than the revised 0.77% WoW registered in the prior week. On a monthly scale, core prices advanced 1.9% MoM, the same as previous week. Seasonal products rose 0.45% WoW, below the previous 0.75%, and their MoM pace stayed at 2%. Regulated prices rose 0.3% WoW, and their monthly gain reached also 2.7%, superior to the 2.4% posted in the prior week. Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - September 29th to October 7th 2025
Inflation showed acceleration on a weekly basis. Consumer prices rose by 1% WoW, a much higher pace compared to the revised 0.4% WoW gain from the previous week. On a monthly scale, inflation stood at 2.1%, mantaining its pace relative to previous week. Consequently, the annual rate rose to 30.5% YoY, slightly superior to the earlier adjusted 29.8% YoY. During the reference week, core, seasonal and regulated prices sped up. Core prices increased 0.76% WoW, higher than the revised 0.31% WoW registered in the prior week. On a monthly scale, core prices advanced 1.9% MoM, lower than the earlier 2.2%. Seasonal products rose 0.74% WoW, above the previous 0.35%, and their MoM pace lowered to 1.9% from 2.1%. Regulated prices rose 1.6% WoW, and their monthly gain reached also 2.4%, superior to the 2.1% posted in the prior week. Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI: Inflation was 2.2% MoM in September
September saw a renewed rise in inflation. Monthly inflation reached 2.2% MoM, quite above the 1.6% MoM rate posted in August, slowing down the prevailing disinflationary path. As a result, the annual figure increased slightly to 32.9% YoY, staying well under the triple-digit mark. This outcome reflects softer increases in regulated prices. Throughout the reference month, seasonal, core and regulated prices picked up. Core inflation came in at 2.48% MoM, quite above the 1.8% MoM rate from the previous month. Seasonal goods posted a 2.05% MoM gain, surpassing August’s 1.0%, and regulated prices rose 2% MoM, a marked increase from August’s 1.2%. Core items accounted for 1.3 percentage points of headline inflation, regulated items contributed 0.6 pp, and seasonal components added 0.3 pp. Excluding regulated prices, monthly inflation would have hovered closer to 1.6%. The carry-over effect from August to September stood at 0.7%, lower than last month’s figure. Meanwhile, end-of-period inflation over the last four weeks reached 1.8%, quite below the most recently updated estimate. Market forecasts remained cautious but got more pessimists. Analysts expect that the CPI change will stay around the 1.8% mark at most. Reflecting a cautios disinflationary trend, inflation expectations for August were increased to...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - September 22nd to 29th 2025
Inflation showed mitigation on a weekly basis. Consumer prices rose by 0.36% WoW, a slower pace compared to the revised 0.4% WoW gain from the previous week. On a monthly scale, inflation stood at 2.1% , slowing a bit from previous week. Consequently, the annual rate dropped to 29.8% YoY, slightly inferior to the earlier adjusted 30.4% YoY. During the reference week, core, seasonal and regulated prices slowed down. Core prices increased 0.25% WoW, lower than the revised 0.46% WoW registered in the prior week. On a monthly scale, core prices advanced 2.2% MoM, lower than the earlier 2.6%. Seasonal products rose 0.28% WoW, below the previous 0.53%, and their MoM pace stayed at 2.1%. Regulated prices rose 0.64% WoW, and their monthly gain reached also 2.1%, superior to the 1.7% posted in the prior week. Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy and...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - September 15th to 22nd 2025
Inflation showed acceleration on a weekly basis. Consumer prices rose by 0.4% WoW, a much higher pace compared to the revised 0.1% WoW gain from the previous week. On a monthly scale, inflation stood at 2.3% as last week. Consequently, the annual rate was kept at 30.4% YoY, slightly inferior to the earlier adjusted 30.5% YoY. During the reference week, core, seasonal and regulated prices accelerated. Core prices increased 0.47% WoW, higher than the revised 0.13% WoW registered in the prior week. On a monthly scale, core prices advanced 2.6% MoM, equal than the earlier week. Seasonal products rose 0.53% WoW, above the previous 0.16%, and their MoM pace moved up to 2.1% from 2.0%. Regulated prices rose 0.32% WoW, and their monthly gain reached also 1.7%, superior to the 1.6% posted in the prior week. Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy and...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - September 8th to 15th 2025
Inflation showed a slowdown on a weekly basis. Consumer prices rose by 0.1% WoW, a much slower pace compared to the revised 0.8% WoW gain from the previous week. On a monthly scale, inflation stood at 2.2% from 2.1% MoM. Consequently, the annual rate rose to 30.5% YoY, slightly superior to the earlier adjusted 31.9% YoY. During the reference week, core, seasonal and regulated prices decelerated. Core prices increased 0.1% WoW, lower than the revised 0.5% WoW registered in the prior week. On a monthly scale, core prices advanced 2.6% MoM, marginally higher than the earlier 2.5%. Seasonal products rose 0.14% WoW, below the previous 0.6%, and their MoM pace moved up to 2.0% from 1.7%. Regulated prices rose 0.1% WoW, and their monthly gain reached also 1.6%, superior to the 1.4% posted in the prior week. Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy...
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