Martina Mas
@martinamas
Martina Mas
@martinamas
martinamas's insights
Alphacast High Frequency CPI: Inflation was 1.8% MoM in June
Inflation decelerated once more in June. Inflation for the reference month rose by 1.8% MoM, down from 2.0% in May, confirming the ongoing disinflationary trend. Consequently, annual inflation settled at 35.5% YoY, firmly below the triple-digit threshold. This final figure reflects a slowdown in the increase of regulated prices and the absence of significant price declines in key categories such as vegetables and fuels. Additionally, the Hot Sale event—which had contributed to a more pronounced deceleration in May—did not affect June’s figures. In the reference period, seasonal components remained flat, core prices moved higher, while regulated items registered a mild easing. Core inflation advanced by 1.8% MoM in June 2025, exceeding the 1.5% MoM increase observed in the prior month. Seasonal prices registered a 0.5% MoM rise, in line with the latest revised estimate, while regulated items rose by 2.7% MoM, significantly lower than the 3.8% MoM recorded in May. Core inflation contributed 0.9 percentage points to the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI), while regulated prices added 0.8 pp and seasonal components contributed 0.1 pp. Absent the impact of regulated prices, the monthly inflation rate would have stood closer to 1%. The carry-over effect on the Consumer Price Index (CPI)...
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - June 16th 2025
Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy and frequency in inflation tracking, further facilitating real-time analysis. Thank you for joining us in this transformation process. Any feedback or suggestions are more than welcome. Weekly inflation cooled down. Based on the latest weekly figures, consumer prices advanced by just 0.1% WoW in the most recent week, below the 0.6% WoW uptick observed the previous week. At the monthly level, inflation stood at 1.7% MoM, remaining broadly in line with the preceding MoM figure. Consequently, the YoY inflation rate eased to 36.0%, compared to the earlier 36.7% YoY rate. Over the course of the last week, core inflation, seasonal goods, and regulated prices showed signs of moderation. Core prices recorded a null variation WoW, falling short of the previous week’s 0.5% WoW increase. On a monthly scale, it advanced by 1.4% MoM, matching the prior reading....
Alphacast High Frequency CPI - June 9th 2025
Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy and frequency in inflation tracking, further facilitating real-time analysis. We also inform you that weekly inflation is now measured from Monday to Sunday. Accordingly, the data corresponding to the week of June 16 will be published together with the report for the week of June 23. Thank you for joining us in this transformation process. Any feedback or suggestions are more than welcome. Weekly inflation remained stable. Based on the latest weekly figures, consumer prices rose by 0.6% WoW, matching the recently revised 0.6% WoW increase recorded the prior week. On a monthly scale, inflation reached 1.7% MoM, remaining close to the previous revised MoM rise. In line with these developments, the YoY inflation rate marked 36.7%, below the earlier adjusted level of 39.6% YoY. Over the course of the last week, inflation in core and seasonal...
