Alphacast High Frequency CPI - June 16th 2025
Alphacast High Frequency CPI: Inflation was 0.1% WoW
Note: This week, we are sharing a shortened version of the report as we are currently in the midst of migrating and upgrading our pricing system. Very soon, the new system will go live and enable us to publish core inflation indices with daily updates, which will be made directly available in Alphacast’s datasets. This enhancement marks a significant step toward greater accuracy and frequency in inflation tracking, further facilitating real-time analysis. Thank you for joining us in this transformation process. Any feedback or suggestions are more than welcome.
Weekly inflation cooled down. Based on the latest weekly figures, consumer prices advanced by just 0.1% WoW in the most recent week, below the 0.6% WoW uptick observed the previous week. At the monthly level, inflation stood at 1.7% MoM, remaining broadly in line with the preceding MoM figure. Consequently, the YoY inflation rate eased to 36.0%, compared to the earlier 36.7% YoY rate.
Over the course of the last week, core inflation, seasonal goods, and regulated prices showed signs of moderation. Core prices recorded a null variation WoW, falling short of the previous week’s 0.5% WoW increase. On a monthly scale, it advanced by 1.4% MoM, matching the prior reading. Similarly, seasonal goods posted a modest 0.1% WoW rise, slightly under the 0.2% WoW change recorded earlier. On a MoM basis, this category expanded by 0.4%, exceeding the prior 0.2% MoM rate. Meanwhile, regulated prices rose by 0.5% WoW, under the previous 0.9% WoW jump. Consequently, the MoM figure came in at 2.8%, inferior to the earlier 3.0% MoM reading.
